Booking is the world’s largest online travel agency by revenue, offering booking services for hotel and vacation rooms, airline tickets, rental cars, restaurant reservations, cruises, experiences, and other vacation packages. The company operates a number of branded travel booking sites, including Priceline.com, Booking.com, Agoda, OpenTable, and Rentalcars.com, and has expanded into travel media with the acquisitions of Kayak and Momondo. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of revenue and profits.
Intuit develops and markets well-known and trusted software products such as QuickBooks for small-business accounting, TurboTax for preparing personal tax returns, and Mint for managing personal finances. The firm is targeting the additional needs of small businesses with payroll and payment processing products in addition to growing its self-employed user base. Intuit was founded in 1983 and is based in Mountain View, California.
Rollins Inc is a provider of pest and termite control services. Rollins offers pest control services and protection against termite damage, rodents, and insects to homes and businesses, including hotels, food service establishments, food manufacturers, retailers, and transportation companies. The company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries offer their services to residential and commercial customers in North America and Australia. In Central America, the Caribbean, the Middle East, Asia, the Mediterranean, Europe, Africa, and Mexico, the company operates a franchise system.
At $23.50, PETS is undervalued and we recommend a BUY. A combination of short-term guidance misfires and PetSmart’s acquisition of Chewy has caused market-wide panic, float short % to skyrocket, and PETS’ market cap to halve over the past 9 months. A price correction was deserved but the market has overreacted. PETS’ price-implied-expectations (discussed later in detail) indicate a contraction in sales growth and margins that defy rationality.
At $1,692, Booking Holdings is undervalued and a BUY. The company is expected to continue being a significant participant in the growth of online gross bookings. Building on an extensive network and a unique business model, BKNG is likely to grow revenue between 9-11% over the next 10 years, maintaining a 35% EBIT margin. Given its uncertainty profile, a 25% margin-of-safety is recommended.
At $27.71, L Brands, Inc. (LB) is fairly priced and a NO-BUY. Victoria’s Secret, LB’s flagship retail brand, is past its prime. LB’s body-care retail segment, Bath & Body Works, will maintain its high profitability and will grow at the same rate as the industry.
Leejam Sports Company is a Saudi joint stock company established in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The Company operates the largest network of fitness centres in the Middle East and North Africa region under the Fitness Time brand with 112 operational fitness centres in 23 cities in the Kingdom and three cities in UAE. Additionally, 31 fitness centres are under development as of 31 December 2017.
Multiple scenarios under Price-implied-Expectations analysis show that COO is overvalued today and would make an unattractive investment. We recommend a NO BUY.
At AED 4.13, ARMX is fairly priced and we recommend a NO-BUY. Even upon assuming a 9% y-o-y growth in revenues for the next five years, this is an unremarkable albeit well-run business and we would not recommend buying unless a significant mispricing occurs.
by Husain Kothari